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Market Manipulation Muddies Election Outlook

Published in Wall Street Journal, 1900

Forecasting Elections: Comparing Prediction Markets, Polls, and their Biases

Published in Public Opinion Quarterly (POQ), 1900

A new way to think about confidence ranges

Published in , 1900

Debiased Aggregated Polls and Prediction Market Prices

Published in Chance, 1900

Expectations: Point-Estimates, Probability Distributions, and Forecasts

Published in AMMA 2011, 1900

Forecasting Elections: Voter Intentions versus Expectations

Published in NBER, 1900

A combinatorial prediction market for the US elections

Published in Economics and Computation (EC), 1900

Simplifying Market Access: A new confidence-based interface

Published in Journal of Prediction Markets, 1900

Are public opinion polls self-fulfilling prophecies?

Published in Research and Politics, 1900

Fundamental models for forecasting elections at the state level

Published in Electoral Studies, 1900

Lay understanding of probability distributions

Published in Judgment and Decision Making, 1900

The extent of price misalignment in prediction markets

Published in Algorithmic Finance, 1900

Xbox Polling and the Future of Election Prediction

Published in Harvard Business Review, 1900

A comparison of forecasting methods: fundamentals, polling, prediction markets, and experts

Published in Journal of Prediction Markets, 1900

Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely

Published in International Journal of Forecasting, 1900

Forecasting elections with non-representative polls

Published in International Journal of Forecasting, 1900

Non-Representative Surveys: Fast, Cheap, and Mostly Accurate

Published in PlosOne R&R, 1900

High-Frequency Polling with Non-Representative Data

Published in Book Chapter, 1900

Mobile as Survey Mode

Published in Proceedings of the Survey Research Methods Section, ASA, 1900

Online and Social Media Data As an Imperfect Continuous Panel Survey

Published in PlosOne, 1900

Selection bias in documenting online conversations

Published in , 1900

The Mythical Swing Voter

Published in Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 1900

Trading strategies and market microstructure: evidence from a prediction market

Published in Journal of Prediction Markets, 1900

Why Political Polling is not Dead a Plea for Non-Probability Polling, Algorithms, and Big Data

Published in Semantic Scholar, 1900

Do Campaign Ads Matter? Limitations of Advertisements in a Negative News Context

Published in , 1900

Dont blame the election on fake news. Blame it on the media

Published in Columbia Journalism Review, 1900

Issues Constraint

Published in , 1900

Manipulation in Conditional Decision Markets

Published in Group Decision and Negotiation, 1900

Non-Representative Surveys: Modes, Dynamics, Party, and Likely Voter Space

Published in , 1900

Rebuilding legitimacy in a post-truth age

Published in Medium, 1900

The Interaction of Prediction Markets and Polls

Published in , 1900

The minority report on the fake news crisis: (spoiler alert: its the real news)

Published in Understanding and Addressing the Disinformation Ecosystem, 1900

Addressing Selection Bias in Event Studies with General-Purpose Social Media Panels

Published in Journal of Data and Information Quality, 1900

Decoupling and contrasting turnout and sentiment in electoral change: Evidence from recent congressional elections

Published in , 1900

Disentangling bias and variance in election polls

Published in Journal of the American Statistical Association (JASA), 1900

Economic Expectations, Voting, and Economic Decisions around Elections

Published in AEA Proceedings, 1900

Post Purchase Search Engine Marketing

Published in The Web Conference 2018 (WWW), 1900

The Science of Fake News

Published in Science, 1900

Towards an automated clustering for online news events: A method proposal and data set for further development

Published in , 1900

Using Big Data and Algorithms to Determine the Effect of Geographically Targeted Advertising on Vote Intention: Evidence From the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election

Published in Political Communications, 1900

A Sharp Test of the Portability of Expertise

Published in Management Science, 1900

Parallax and Tax

Published in The Review of Economic Studies (Restud) R&R, 1900

President Trump stress disorder: partisanship, ethnicity, and expressive reporting of mental distress after the 2016 election

Published in Sage Open, 1900

Understanding market functionality and trading success

Published in PlosOne, 1900

Unique news over time

Published in , 1900

Evaluating the fake news problem at the scale of the information ecosystem

Published in Science Advances, 1900

External Validity of Differences in Hypothetical Horse-Race Polling

Published in , 1900

One Person, One Vote: Estimating the Prevalence of Double Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections

Published in American Political Science Review (APSR), 1900

Comparing Estimates of News Consumption from Survey and Passively collected Behavioral Data

Published in Public Opinion Quarterly (POQ), 1900

Data quality of platforms and panels for online behavioral research

Published in Behavior Research Methods, 1900

Designing a Combinatorial Financial Options Market

Published in Economics and Computation (EC), 1900

Examining Potential Bias in Large-scale Censored Data

Published in Harvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review, 1900

Examining the consumption of radical content on YouTube

Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS), 1900

Log-time Prediction Markets for Interval Securities

Published in AAMAS, 1900

Measuring the news and its impact on democracy

Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS), 1900

Towards a Theory of Confidence in Market-Based Predictions

Published in ISIPTA, 1900

Vaccine advertising: preach to the converted or to the unaware?

Published in Nature Digital Medicine, 1900

Addendum to: Examining potential bias in large-scale censored data

Published in Harvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review, 1900

Blocks as geographic discontinuities: The effect of polling place assignment on voting

Published in Political Anaylisis, 1900

Combatting Gerrymandering with Social Choice: the Design of Multi-member Districts

Published in Economics and Computation (EC), 1900

If a Tree Falls in the Forest: COVID-19, Media Choices, and Presidential Agenda Setting

Published in Journal of Quantitative Description, 1900

Quantifying partisan news diets in Web and TV audiences

Published in Science Advances, 1900

A Sports Analogy for Understanding Different Ways to Use AI

Published in Harvard Business Review, 1900

Early LLM-based Tools for Enterprise Information Workers Likely Provide Meaningful Boosts to Productivity

Published in Microsoft White Paper, 1900

The cost of anti-Asian racism during the COVID-19 pandemic

Published in Nature Human Behavior, 1900

Warped Front Pages

Published in Columbia Journalism Review, 1900

Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric and ICE Reporting Behavior: Evidence from a Large-Scale Study of Web Search Data

Published in British Journal of Political Science, 1900

Designing Expressive and Liquid Financial Options Markets via Linear Programming and Automated Market Making

Published in ICAIF2024, 1900

Do Partisans Make Different Investment Decisions When Their Party is in Power?

Published in Political Behavior, 1900

Framing in the Presence of Supporting Data: A Case Study in U.S. Economic News

Published in ACL-2024, 1900

Misunderstanding the harms of online misinformation

Published in Nature, 1900

Prevalence and prevention of large language model use in crowd work

Published in Communications of the ACM, 1900

Comparing Traditional and LLM-based Search for Consumer Choice: A Randomized Experiments

Published in Chi, 1900

Media Bias Detector: Designing and Implementing a Tool for Real-Time Selection and Framing Bias Analysis in News Coverage

Published in Chi, 1900

Teaching experience 1

Undergraduate course, University 1, Department, 2014

This is a description of a teaching experience. You can use markdown like any other post.

Teaching experience 2

Workshop, University 1, Department, 2015

This is a description of a teaching experience. You can use markdown like any other post.