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A list of all the posts and pages found on the site. For you robots out there, there is an XML version available for digesting as well.
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Posts
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Blog Post number 4
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Blog Post number 1
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portfolio
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publications
Market Manipulation Muddies Election Outlook
Published in Wall Street Journal, 1900
Forecasting Elections: Comparing Prediction Markets, Polls, and their Biases
Published in Public Opinion Quarterly (POQ), 1900
A new way to think about confidence ranges
Published in , 1900
Debiased Aggregated Polls and Prediction Market Prices
Published in Chance, 1900
Expectations: Point-Estimates, Probability Distributions, and Forecasts
Published in AMMA 2011, 1900
Forecasting Elections: Voter Intentions versus Expectations
Published in NBER, 1900
A combinatorial prediction market for the US elections
Published in Economics and Computation (EC), 1900
Simplifying Market Access: A new confidence-based interface
Published in Journal of Prediction Markets, 1900
Are public opinion polls self-fulfilling prophecies?
Published in Research and Politics, 1900
Fundamental models for forecasting elections at the state level
Published in Electoral Studies, 1900
Lay understanding of probability distributions
Published in Judgment and Decision Making, 1900
The extent of price misalignment in prediction markets
Published in Algorithmic Finance, 1900
Xbox Polling and the Future of Election Prediction
Published in Harvard Business Review, 1900
A comparison of forecasting methods: fundamentals, polling, prediction markets, and experts
Published in Journal of Prediction Markets, 1900
Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely
Published in International Journal of Forecasting, 1900
Forecasting elections with non-representative polls
Published in International Journal of Forecasting, 1900
Non-Representative Surveys: Fast, Cheap, and Mostly Accurate
Published in PlosOne R&R, 1900
High-Frequency Polling with Non-Representative Data
Published in Book Chapter, 1900
Mobile as Survey Mode
Published in Proceedings of the Survey Research Methods Section, ASA, 1900
Online and Social Media Data As an Imperfect Continuous Panel Survey
Published in PlosOne, 1900
Selection bias in documenting online conversations
Published in , 1900
The Mythical Swing Voter
Published in Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 1900
Trading strategies and market microstructure: evidence from a prediction market
Published in Journal of Prediction Markets, 1900
Why Political Polling is not Dead a Plea for Non-Probability Polling, Algorithms, and Big Data
Published in Semantic Scholar, 1900
Do Campaign Ads Matter? Limitations of Advertisements in a Negative News Context
Published in , 1900
Dont blame the election on fake news. Blame it on the media
Published in Columbia Journalism Review, 1900
Issues Constraint
Published in , 1900
Manipulation in Conditional Decision Markets
Published in Group Decision and Negotiation, 1900
Non-Representative Surveys: Modes, Dynamics, Party, and Likely Voter Space
Published in , 1900
Rebuilding legitimacy in a post-truth age
Published in Medium, 1900
The Interaction of Prediction Markets and Polls
Published in , 1900
The minority report on the fake news crisis: (spoiler alert: its the real news)
Published in Understanding and Addressing the Disinformation Ecosystem, 1900
Addressing Selection Bias in Event Studies with General-Purpose Social Media Panels
Published in Journal of Data and Information Quality, 1900
Decoupling and contrasting turnout and sentiment in electoral change: Evidence from recent congressional elections
Published in , 1900
Disentangling bias and variance in election polls
Published in Journal of the American Statistical Association (JASA), 1900
Economic Expectations, Voting, and Economic Decisions around Elections
Published in AEA Proceedings, 1900
Post Purchase Search Engine Marketing
Published in The Web Conference 2018 (WWW), 1900
The Science of Fake News
Published in Science, 1900
Towards an automated clustering for online news events: A method proposal and data set for further development
Published in , 1900
Using Big Data and Algorithms to Determine the Effect of Geographically Targeted Advertising on Vote Intention: Evidence From the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election
Published in Political Communications, 1900
A Sharp Test of the Portability of Expertise
Published in Management Science, 1900
Parallax and Tax
Published in The Review of Economic Studies (Restud) R&R, 1900
President Trump stress disorder: partisanship, ethnicity, and expressive reporting of mental distress after the 2016 election
Published in Sage Open, 1900
Understanding market functionality and trading success
Published in PlosOne, 1900
Unique news over time
Published in , 1900
Evaluating the fake news problem at the scale of the information ecosystem
Published in Science Advances, 1900
External Validity of Differences in Hypothetical Horse-Race Polling
Published in , 1900
One Person, One Vote: Estimating the Prevalence of Double Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections
Published in American Political Science Review (APSR), 1900
Comparing Estimates of News Consumption from Survey and Passively collected Behavioral Data
Published in Public Opinion Quarterly (POQ), 1900
Data quality of platforms and panels for online behavioral research
Published in Behavior Research Methods, 1900
Designing a Combinatorial Financial Options Market
Published in Economics and Computation (EC), 1900
Examining Potential Bias in Large-scale Censored Data
Published in Harvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review, 1900
Examining the consumption of radical content on YouTube
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS), 1900
Log-time Prediction Markets for Interval Securities
Published in AAMAS, 1900
Measuring the news and its impact on democracy
Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS), 1900
Towards a Theory of Confidence in Market-Based Predictions
Published in ISIPTA, 1900
Vaccine advertising: preach to the converted or to the unaware?
Published in Nature Digital Medicine, 1900
Addendum to: Examining potential bias in large-scale censored data
Published in Harvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review, 1900
Blocks as geographic discontinuities: The effect of polling place assignment on voting
Published in Political Anaylisis, 1900
Combatting Gerrymandering with Social Choice: the Design of Multi-member Districts
Published in Economics and Computation (EC), 1900
If a Tree Falls in the Forest: COVID-19, Media Choices, and Presidential Agenda Setting
Published in Journal of Quantitative Description, 1900
Quantifying partisan news diets in Web and TV audiences
Published in Science Advances, 1900
A Sports Analogy for Understanding Different Ways to Use AI
Published in Harvard Business Review, 1900
Early LLM-based Tools for Enterprise Information Workers Likely Provide Meaningful Boosts to Productivity
Published in Microsoft White Paper, 1900
The cost of anti-Asian racism during the COVID-19 pandemic
Published in Nature Human Behavior, 1900
Warped Front Pages
Published in Columbia Journalism Review, 1900
Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric and ICE Reporting Behavior: Evidence from a Large-Scale Study of Web Search Data
Published in British Journal of Political Science, 1900
Designing Expressive and Liquid Financial Options Markets via Linear Programming and Automated Market Making
Published in ICAIF2024, 1900
Do Partisans Make Different Investment Decisions When Their Party is in Power?
Published in Political Behavior, 1900
Framing in the Presence of Supporting Data: A Case Study in U.S. Economic News
Published in ACL-2024, 1900
Misunderstanding the harms of online misinformation
Published in Nature, 1900
Prevalence and prevention of large language model use in crowd work
Published in Communications of the ACM, 1900
Comparing Traditional and LLM-based Search for Consumer Choice: A Randomized Experiments
Published in Chi, 1900
Media Bias Detector: Designing and Implementing a Tool for Real-Time Selection and Framing Bias Analysis in News Coverage
Published in Chi, 1900
teaching
Teaching experience 1
Undergraduate course, University 1, Department, 2014
This is a description of a teaching experience. You can use markdown like any other post.
Teaching experience 2
Workshop, University 1, Department, 2015
This is a description of a teaching experience. You can use markdown like any other post.