Papers
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| Year ▼ | Title | Co-Authors | Venue | Category | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Effects of LLM Use and Note-Taking on Reading Comprehension and Memory: A Randomised Experiment in Secondary Schools | Pia Kreijkes, Viktor Kewening, Martina Kuvalja, Mina Lee, Jake M. Hofman, et al. | Computers & Education | Behavioral | |
| 2025 | Economists can help ensure the AI disruption brings society to the good place: discussion for “The Coasean Singularity? Demand, Supply, and Market Design with AI Agents” | NBER | Behavioral | ||
| 2025 | Successfully Navigating the Disruption of AI on Survey Research | Trent D. Buskirk, Stephanie Eckman, D. Sunshine Hillygus, Frauker Kreuter, David Lazer | The Survey Statistician | Behavioral | |
| 2025 | The Agentic Economy | Markus Mobius, Jake M. Hofman, Eleanor W. Dillon, Daniel G. Goldstein, Nicole Immorcilca, et al. | Communications of the ACM | Behavioral | |
| 2025 | Gun purchase interest as backlash to Black Lives Matter protests | Masha Krupenkin, Elad Yom-Tov | Social Forces | Political Science | |
| 2025 | Unpacking media bias in the growing divide between cable and network news | Homa Hosseinmardi, Sam Wolken, Duncan J. Watts | Scientific Reports | Communication | |
| 2025 | The Impact of Temporally Turning off TV Ad on Search: A Generalized Synthetic Control Estimator under Interference | Jia Liu, Shawndra Hill | Journal of Marketing | Marketing | |
| 2025 | Math Education With Large Language Models: Peril or Promise? | Harsh Kumar, Jake M. Hofman, Daniel G. Goldstein | AIED | Behavioral | |
| 2025 | Search conversion journeys and the missed opportunity of associated keywords | Elad Yom-Tov, Coen Needell | Frontiers | Marketing | |
| 2025 | Comparing Traditional and LLM-based Search for Consumer Choice: A Randomized Experiments | Sofia Spatharioti, Daniel G. Goldstein, Jake M. Hofman | Chi | Behavioral | |
| 2025 | Media Bias Detector: Designing and Implementing a Tool for Real-Time Selection and Framing Bias Analysis in News Coverage | Jenny S. Wang, Samar Haider, Amir Tohidi, Anushka Gupta, Yuxuan Zhang, et al. | Chi | Communication | |
| 2025 | Identity isn't everything -- how far do demographics take us towards self-identified party ID? | Sabina Tomkins, Alex Liu, Alexander Thompson | arXiv | Political Science | |
| 2024 | Designing Expressive and Liquid Financial Options Markets via Linear Programming and Automated Market Making | Xintong Wang, David M. Pennock, Nikhil Devanur | ICAIF2024 | Behavioral | |
| 2024 | Prevalence and prevention of large language model use in crowd work | Veniamin Veselovsky, Manoel Ribeiro, Phillip Cozzolino, Andrew Gordon, Robert West | Communications of the ACM | Behavioral | |
| 2024 | Framing in the Presence of Supporting Data: A Case Study in U.S. Economic News | Alexandria Leto, Elliot Pickens, Coen D. Needell, Maria Leonor Pacheco | ACL-2024 | Communication | |
| 2024 | Misunderstanding the harms of online misinformation | Ceren Budak, Brendan Nyhan, Emily Thorson, Duncan J. Watts | Nature | Communication | |
| 2024 | Do Partisans Make Different Investment Decisions When Their Party is in Power? | Masha Krupenkin, Shawndra Hill | Political Behavior | Political Science | |
| 2024 | Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric and ICE Reporting Behavior: Evidence from a Large-Scale Study of Web Search Data | Masha Krupenkin, Shawndra Hill | British Journal of Political Science | Political Science | |
| 2023 | The cost of anti-Asian racism during the COVID-19 pandemic | Justin Huang, Masha Krupenkin, Julia Lee Cunningham | Nature Human Behavior | Political Science | |
| 2023 | Early LLM-based Tools for Enterprise Information Workers Likely Provide Meaningful Boosts to Productivity | Alexia Cambon, Brent Hecht, Bejamin Edelman, Donald Ngwe, Sonia Jaffe, et al. | Microsoft White Paper | Behavioral | |
| 2023 | A Sports Analogy for Understanding Different Ways to Use AI | Jake M. Hofman, Daniel G. Goldstein | Harvard Business Review | Behavioral | |
| 2023 | Warped Front Pages | Elliot Pickens, Gideon Heltzer, Jenny Wang, Duncan J. Watts | Columbia Journalism Review | Communication | |
| 2022 | Quantifying partisan news diets in Web and TV audiences | Daniel Muise, Homa Hosseinmardi, Baird Howland, Markus Mobius, Duncan J. Watts | Science Advances | Communication | |
| 2022 | If a Tree Falls in the Forest: COVID-19, Media Choices, and Presidential Agenda Setting | Masha Krupenkin, Kai Zhu, Dylan Walker | Journal of Quantitative Description | Communication | |
| 2022 | Addendum to: Examining potential bias in large-scale censored data | Jennifer Allen, Markus Mobius, Duncan J. Watts | Harvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review | Communication | |
| 2022 | Blocks as geographic discontinuities: The effect of polling place assignment on voting | Sabina Tomkins, Keniel Yao, Johann Gaebler, Tobias Konitzer, Marc Meredith, Sharad Goel | Political Anaylisis | Political Science | |
| 2022 | Combatting Gerrymandering with Social Choice: the Design of Multi-member Districts | Nikhil Garg, Wes Gurnee, David Shmoys | Economics and Computation (EC) | Political Science | |
| 2021 | Data quality of platforms and panels for online behavioral research | Eyal Peer, Andrew Gordon, Zak Evernden, Ekaterina Damer | Behavior Research Methods | Behavioral | |
| 2021 | Log-time Prediction Markets for Interval Securities | Miroslav Dudík, Xintong Wang, David M. Pennock | AAMAS | Behavioral | |
| 2021 | Towards a Theory of Confidence in Market-Based Predictions | Rupert Freeman, David M. Pennock, Daniel M. Reeves, Bo Waggoner | ISIPTA | Behavioral | |
| 2021 | Designing a Combinatorial Financial Options Market | Xintong Wang, David M. Pennock, Nikhil Devanur, Biaoshuai Tao, Michael Wellman | Economics and Computation (EC) | Behavioral | |
| 2021 | Vaccine advertising: preach to the converted or to the unaware? | Masha Krupenkin, Elad Yom-Tov | Nature Digital Medicine | Marketing | |
| 2021 | Examining the consumption of radical content on YouTube | Homa Hosseinmardi, Amir Ghasemian, Aaron Clauset, Markus Mobius, Duncan J. Watts | Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS) | Communication | |
| 2021 | Examining Potential Bias in Large-scale Censored Data | Jennifer Allen, Markus Mobius, Duncan J. Watts | Harvard Kennedy School Misinformation Review | Communication | |
| 2021 | Measuring the news and its impact on democracy | Duncan J. Watts, Markus Mobius | Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (PNAS) | Communication | |
| 2021 | Comparing Estimates of News Consumption from Survey and Passively collected Behavioral Data | Tobias Konitzer, Jennifer Allen, Stephanie Eckman, Baird Howland, Markus Mobius, Duncan J. Watts | Public Opinion Quarterly (POQ) | Communication | |
| 2020 | Evaluating the fake news problem at the scale of the information ecosystem | Jennifer Allen, Baird Howland, Markus Mobius, Duncan J. Watts | Science Advances | Communication | |
| 2020 | One Person, One Vote: Estimating the Prevalence of Double Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections | Sharad Goel, Marc Meredith, Michael Morse, Houshmand Shirani-Mehr | American Political Science Review (APSR) | Political Science | |
| 2020 | External Validity of Differences in Hypothetical Horse-Race Polling | Ling Dong | N/A | Political Science | |
| 2019 | A Sharp Test of the Portability of Expertise | Etan Green, Justin Rao | Management Science | Behavioral | |
| 2019 | Understanding market functionality and trading success | James Schmitz | PlosOne | Behavioral | |
| 2019 | President Trump stress disorder: partisanship, ethnicity, and expressive reporting of mental distress after the 2016 election | Masha Krupenkin, Shawndra Hill, Elad Yom-Tov | Sage Open | Political Science | |
| 2019 | Parallax and Tax | Etan Green, Haksoo Lee | The Review of Economic Studies (Restud) R&R | Behavioral | |
| 2019 | Unique news over time | Ling Dong | N/A | Communication | |
| 2018 | Using Big Data and Algorithms to Determine the Effect of Geographically Targeted Advertising on Vote Intention: Evidence From the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election | Tobias Konitzer, Shawndra Hill, Kenneth Wilbur | Political Communications | Political Science | |
| 2018 | Addressing Selection Bias in Event Studies with General-Purpose Social Media Panels | Han Zhang, Shawndra Hill | Journal of Data and Information Quality | Marketing | |
| 2018 | Post Purchase Search Engine Marketing | Qianyun Zhang, Shawndra Hill | The Web Conference 2018 (WWW) | Marketing | |
| 2018 | The Science of Fake News | David Lazer, Matthew Baum, Yochai Benkler, Adam Bernisky, Kelly Greenhilll, et al. | Science | Communication | |
| 2018 | Economic Expectations, Voting, and Economic Decisions around Elections | Guy Huberman, Tobias Konitzer, Masha Krupenkin, Shawndra Hill | AEA Proceedings | Political Science | |
| 2018 | Disentangling bias and variance in election polls | Houshmand Shirani-Mehr, Sharad Goel, Andrew Gelman | Journal of the American Statistical Association (JASA) | Political Science | |
| 2018 | Decoupling and contrasting turnout and sentiment in electoral change: Evidence from recent congressional elections | Tobias Konitzer, Sharad Goel, Houshmand Shirani-Mehr | N/A | Political Science | |
| 2018 | Towards an automated clustering for online news events: A method proposal and data set for further development | Marcel Wittich | N/A | Communication | |
| 2017 | Manipulation in Conditional Decision Markets | Florian Teschner, Henner Gimpel | Group Decision and Negotiation | Behavioral | |
| 2017 | The minority report on the fake news crisis: (spoiler alert: it’s the real news) | Duncan J. Watts | Understanding and Addressing the Disinformation Ecosystem | Communication | |
| 2017 | Don’t blame the election on fake news. Blame it on the media | Duncan J. Watts | Columbia Journalism Review | Communication | |
| 2017 | Rebuilding legitimacy in a post-truth age | Duncan J. Watts | Medium | Communication | |
| 2017 | Non-Representative Surveys: Modes, Dynamics, Party, and Likely Voter Space | Sam Corbett-Davies, Tobias Konitzer | N/A | Political Science | |
| 2017 | Issues Constraint | Tobias Konitzer, Sharad Goel, Sam Corbett-Davies | N/A | Political Science | |
| 2017 | Do Campaign Ads Matter? Limitations of Advertisements in a Negative News Context | Masha Krupenkin, Shawndra Hill | N/A | Political Science | |
| 2017 | The Interaction of Prediction Markets and Polls | Giorgio Ravalli | N/A | Political Science | |
| 2016 | High-Frequency Polling with Non-Representative Data | Andrew Gelman, Sharad Goel, Wei Wang | Book Chapter | Political Science | |
| 2016 | Trading strategies and market microstructure: evidence from a prediction market | Rajiv Sethi | Journal of Prediction Markets | Behavioral | |
| 2016 | The Mythical Swing Voter | Andrew Gelman, Sharad Goel, Doug Rivers | Quarterly Journal of Political Science | Political Science | |
| 2016 | Online and Social Media Data As an Imperfect Continuous Panel Survey | Fernando Diaz, Michael Gamon, Jake M. Hofman, Emre Kiciman | PlosOne | Political Science | |
| 2016 | Mobile as Survey Mode | Tobias Konitzer, Stephie Eckman | Proceedings of the Survey Research Methods Section, ASA | Political Science | |
| 2016 | Why Political Polling is not Dead – a Plea for Non-Probability Polling, Algorithms, and Big Data | Tobias Konitzer | Semantic Scholar | Political Science | |
| 2016 | Selection bias in documenting online conversations | Ran He | N/A | Behavioral | |
| 2015 | A comparison of forecasting methods: fundamentals, polling, prediction markets, and experts | Deepak Pathak, Miroslav Dudik | Journal of Prediction Markets | Behavioral | |
| 2015 | Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely | International Journal of Forecasting | Political Science | ||
| 2015 | Forecasting elections with non-representative polls | Wei Wang, Sharad Goel, Gelman | International Journal of Forecasting | Political Science | |
| 2015 | Non-Representative Surveys: Fast, Cheap, and Mostly Accurate | Sharad Goel, Adam Obeng | PlosOne R&R | Political Science | |
| 2014 | The extent of price misalignment in prediction markets | David M. Pennock | Algorithmic Finance | Behavioral | |
| 2014 | Lay understanding of probability distributions | Daniel G. Goldstein | Judgment and Decision Making | Behavioral | |
| 2014 | Fundamental models for forecasting elections at the state level | Patrick Hummel | Electoral Studies | Political Science | |
| 2014 | Are public opinion polls self-fulfilling prophecies? | Neil Malhotra | Research and Politics | Political Science | |
| 2014 | Xbox Polling and the Future of Election Prediction | Harvard Business Review | Political Science | ||
| 2013 | A combinatorial prediction market for the US elections | Miroslav Dudik, Sebastien Lahaie, David M. Pennock | Economics and Computation (EC) | Political Science | |
| 2013 | Simplifying Market Access: A new confidence-based interface | Florian Teschner | Journal of Prediction Markets | Behavioral | |
| 2011 | Forecasting Elections: Voter Intentions versus Expectations | Justin Wolfers | NBER | Political Science | |
| 2011 | Expectations: Point-Estimates, Probability Distributions, and Forecasts | - | AMMA 2011 | Behavioral | |
| 2010 | Debiased Aggregated Polls and Prediction Market Prices | Chance | Political Science | ||
| 2010 | A new way to think about confidence ranges | Florian Teschner, Daniel G. Goldstein | N/A | Behavioral | |
| 2009 | Forecasting Elections: Comparing Prediction Markets, Polls, and their Biases | Public Opinion Quarterly (POQ) | Political Science | ||
| 2008 | Market Manipulation Muddies Election Outlook | Justin Wolfers | Wall Street Journal | Behavioral |